SCROLL TO TOP

In a World Shaped by College Dropouts, Education is the Next Bubble

by Kevin Morrill
updated on January 30, 2013

Our irrational obsession with college degrees has created another bubble much like the housing crisis. Ironically, we live in a world shaped by entrepreneurs who never got a degree. It's now possible to create your own liberal arts education and start your career on your terms.

Higher Education is the Housing Bubble All Over Again
It is taken for granted and with little defense that everyone should get a college degree. We saw this in housing for decades. Just before the peak, George W. Bush accepting his party's nomination talked about an "ownership society" where everyone owned their own home. Less than four years later, it was falling in on itself, and now we wonder if renting is really so bad. Higher education is lauded with bi-partisan support both Republicans and Democrats. George H. W. Bush signed Higher Education Act authorizing the government to directly lend to students. And Barack Obama has piled on supporting a freeze of interest rates for this program.

Eventually with all this cultural pressure, prices start to rise. We saw this in housing prices during the 90s and early 2000s. And we're seeing it in the higher education market now. Since 1980, the inflation adjusted average cost of a 4 year degree has ballooned from $3,101 to $32,026. The cost of college has been increasing at an average of 8% per year for the past 30 years, well in excess of the inflation rate. The system is finally beginning to fall in on itself; the two year default rate for federal student loans rose to 9.1% last year from 8.8% in 2011, according to the Department of Education.

Advocates of higher education have stood firm on the idea that despite rising costs, higher education was still the secure ticket to stable, high paying jobs. Apparently they didn't get the memo from the Associated Press that 53% of recent college grads are now either unemployed or underemployed. The AP also notes, recent graduates are now more likely to work as "waiters, waitresses, bartenders and food-service helpers than as engineers, physicists, chemists and mathematicians combined."

All the while, this is facilitated by insider political pressure. In the run up to the housing crisis, politicians ensured all time low interest rates and backed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. We have done essentially the same thing in the education market by underwriting over $1,065,254,838,688 -- that's One Trillion -- in student loans. This doesn't even begin to count state taxes that go to fund colleges and universities.
The Faces of Failure
What's especially ironic is the very people branded with a Scarlet Letter by high education advocates are some of America's most successful entrepreneurs ever.
Correlation is Not Causation
When advocates of college defend themselves, they usually mix up correlation and causation. Just because college graduates have a lower unemployment rate and make more on average does not mean college is necessarily the cause of their success. It could simply mean that people with the diligence to get a college degree were going to be diligent in their career anyway. Likewise, the above list of billionaires is not meant to say if you dropout or skip college that you will inevitably make a fortune. The odds of anyone becoming a billionaire are extremely rare.

Nor am not saying that getting a college degree is always the wrong thing for you. Obviously, everyone has different circumstances and different personal values. Not to mention that some careers such as law or medicine require a degree (which is a whole separate debate). I am merely saying you should think twice before you blindly follow the social pressure that a college degree is the single route to success in your career or that it's the only way to lead an intellectually curious life.
Craft Your Own Education
One of the best arguments for attending college is that you will diversify your background, exposing yourself to parts of liberal arts that you will never see later in your life. Of course universities do not have a monopoly on lifelong learning. Here are some resources to craft your own education.

Is this collection missing something? Submit ideas for new items to add

Suggest Item